Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2019 |
WIN
2 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 1
RAP
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 2
FCV
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
KRI
0 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 5
LAU
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 1
KRI
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCA
22%
23%
54%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 0
LAU
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
FCA
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 4
FCA
26%
25%
48%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |