Chesterfield vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 0
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WYC
2 - 1
CHE
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
STA
1 - 0
CHE
34%
26%
41%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 0
YOR
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
SOU
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
EXE
3 - 0
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
3 - 3
SOU
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 2
BRE
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
GIL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |