Chesterfield vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 0
AFC
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 0
COV
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
LUT
4 - 0
CHE
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHE
64%
23%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 0
MKD
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
OLD
1 - 2
BRA
30%
30%
41%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
OLD
2 - 0
POS
25%
26%
50%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
STF
1 - 0
OLD
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
OLD
1 - 0
GIL
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
OLD
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |