Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DAG
0 - 1
CHE
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
ALD
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
GIL
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
FLE
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 0
EXE
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BRO
3 - 0
BUR
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
BRO
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
BRO
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
BRO
1 - 2
ROT
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |