Chesterfield vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
STO
1 - 1
CHE
28%
25%
46%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 2
BRA
76%
15%
8%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
GIL
0 - 2
CHE
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
STF
0 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
STE
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GIL
2 - 1
ALD
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
3 - 2
CRE
30%
25%
44%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 0
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 1
ALD
53%
26%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
OXF
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |