FA Cup . 1/128
Global 1-2
Chester vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHE
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
SCU
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 2
CHE
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 2
PET
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 1
HAL
29%
29%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 0
YOR
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 1
YOR
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NEE
0 - 1
YOR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 0
NEE
53%
23%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |