Chester vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 3
CHE
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
GUI
60%
21%
18%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 0
AFC
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
CHO
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 2
CHE
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
GAT
1 - 3
SPE
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
DAR
0 - 0
SPE
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 2
SOU
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
6 - 2
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
YOR
1 - 1
SPE
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |