Chester vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
KID
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 3
BRA
37%
26%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
ALT
4 - 1
CHE
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 2
CHE
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 0
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 0
ALD
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
EAS
4 - 0
LIN
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 1
BAR
37%
26%
36%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 3
LIN
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |