FA Cup . 1/512
Global 4-0
Chester vs Hanley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
CHE
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BUX
0 - 0
CHE
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
PON
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 0
SOU
55%
23%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 3
KIN
37%
24%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hanley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 4
HAN
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 3
CIT
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HAN
4 - 1
ATH
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
HAN
28%
22%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 1
STO
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |