Chester vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
KID
3 - 1
CHE
36%
25%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
GAT
51%
23%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 3
CUR
74%
16%
9%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAN
3 - 2
CHE
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
0 - 1
CHO
30%
25%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DAR
2 - 3
ALF
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
0 - 1
BRA
17%
24%
59%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BLY
2 - 0
ALF
33%
23%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
4 - 1
KIN
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |