Chester vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
WEL
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 2
CHE
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GRI
3 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
WRE
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
SOU
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 0
ALF
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
DOV
3 - 0
ALD
37%
29%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
GAT
1 - 1
ALD
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 0
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 3
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |