FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 4-3
Chesham United vs Uxbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UXB
2 - 2
CHE
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
KIN
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GOS
3 - 0
CHE
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 1
MER
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 3
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Uxbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UXB
2 - 2
CHE
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BED
1 - 1
UXB
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
UXB
2 - 1
WES
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
UXB
1 - 0
CRA
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
UXB
2 - 0
SCR
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |