Chesham United vs Paulton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
HIT
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 0
CHE
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
MKD
8%
15%
77%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
BAN
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 3
POO
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
WEY
4 - 1
PAU
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
PAU
0 - 0
HUN
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
HUN
2 - 1
PAU
49%
25%
25%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 2
DOR
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 0
FRO
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |