Chesham United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BID
2 - 1
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
AFT
1 - 1
CHE
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
STN
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
BED
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
GOS
0 - 0
BAS
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 6
HEM
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
FRO
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 1
BAS
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |