FA Cup . Previa 2

Chertsey Town vs Horsham analysis

Chertsey Town Horsham
14 ELO 24
12.6% Tilt 6.9%
6045º General ELO ranking 4518º
289º Country ELO ranking 182º
ELO win probability
23.5%
Chertsey Town
21.1%
Draw
55.4%
Horsham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
Chertsey Town
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.4%
Win probability
Horsham
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Chertsey Town
Horsham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chertsey Town
Chertsey Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2017
SPE
Spelthorne Sports
1 - 3
Chertsey Town
CHE
55%
20%
25%
14 16 2 0
03 Sep. 2016
THA
Thamesmead Town FC
1 - 0
Chertsey Town
CHE
66%
19%
14%
14 27 13 0
20 Aug. 2016
CHE
Chertsey Town
3 - 0
AFC Hayes
AFH
23%
23%
54%
11 21 10 +3
06 Aug. 2016
CHE
Chertsey Town
2 - 0
Hook Norton
HOO
25%
21%
54%
9 15 6 +2
29 Aug. 2015
CHE
Chertsey Town
1 - 4
Kidlington
KID
23%
21%
56%
10 18 8 -1

Matches

Horsham
Horsham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2017
HOR
Horsham
3 - 0
Shoreham FC
SHO
82%
11%
7%
24 15 9 0
12 Aug. 2017
MOL
Molesey FC
2 - 1
Horsham
HOR
19%
21%
60%
25 16 9 -1
22 Apr. 2017
HOR
Horsham
0 - 1
Hythe Town
HYT
52%
22%
26%
25 24 1 0
17 Apr. 2017
GOD
Godalming Town
1 - 2
Horsham
HOR
17%
21%
62%
25 16 9 0
15 Apr. 2017
HOR
Horsham
0 - 1
Sittingbourne
SIT
71%
17%
12%
26 19 7 -1
X