Non League Div One Isthmian South Central. Jor. 6

Chertsey Town vs Guernsey analysis

Chertsey Town Guernsey
36 ELO 18
6.4% Tilt 0.7%
6005º General ELO ranking 10708º
286º Country ELO ranking 677º
ELO win probability
81.7%
Chertsey Town
11.7%
Draw
6.6%
Guernsey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
Chertsey Town
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.6%
Win probability
Guernsey
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chertsey Town
+50%
-16%
Guernsey

Points and table prediction

Chertsey Town
Their league position
Guernsey
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
98
11º
33
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chertsey Town
98
101
100%
Marlow FC
86
89
87%
Leatherhead
83
86
87%
Southall
80
83
73.5%
Westfield FC
77
83
71%
Raynes Park Vale
75
78
97.5%
Hanworth Villa FC
62
65
100%
Thatcham Town
59
62
67%
South Park FC
61
61
67%
Hartley Wintney
10º
52
55
10º
42.5%
Badshot Lea FC
11º
51
54
11º
30.5%
Uxbridge
12º
50
53
12º
45%
Ascot United
13º
42
43
13º
68%
Northwood
15º
38
41
14º
25.5%
Sutton Common Rovers
14º
40
40
15º
45.5%
Metropolitan Police
16º
37
40
16º
45%
Guernsey
17º
33
37
17º
44.5%
Binfield
19º
33
34
18º
58%
Ashford Town
18º
33
33
19º
69.5%
Chipstead
20º
30
30
20º
96.5%
Corinthian-Casuals
21º
21
21
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chertsey Town
Guernsey
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chertsey Town
Guernsey
Hartley Wintney
Northwood
Raynes Park Vale
Badshot Lea FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chertsey Town
Chertsey Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
SOU
South Park FC
0 - 4
Chertsey Town
CHE
51%
22%
27%
34 36 2 0
28 Oct. 2023
CHE
Chertsey Town
2 - 1
Chipstead
CHI
65%
18%
17%
33 26 7 +1
21 Oct. 2023
NOR
Northwood
2 - 4
Chertsey Town
CHE
30%
23%
48%
32 25 7 +1
14 Oct. 2023
CHE
Chertsey Town
3 - 0
Metropolitan Police
MET
31%
22%
48%
29 35 6 +3
10 Oct. 2023
LEA
Leatherhead
0 - 1
Chertsey Town
CHE
58%
22%
21%
27 35 8 +2

Matches

Guernsey
Guernsey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2023
SOU
Southall
1 - 1
Guernsey
GUE
78%
13%
9%
18 36 18 0
11 Nov. 2023
GUE
Guernsey
1 - 1
Corinthian-Casuals
COR
42%
23%
35%
18 19 1 0
04 Nov. 2023
HAR
Hartley Wintney
2 - 0
Guernsey
GUE
75%
15%
10%
18 30 12 0
28 Oct. 2023
GUE
Guernsey
1 - 1
Metropolitan Police
MET
12%
17%
71%
17 33 16 +1
21 Oct. 2023
HAN
Hanworth Villa FC
4 - 4
Guernsey
GUE
80%
12%
8%
17 34 17 0
X