Chertanovo vs Dnepr Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chertanovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
2 - 0
CHE
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 0
PSK
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 0
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
KOL
0 - 1
CHE
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 1
TOR
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
DNE
1 - 3
TOR
24%
26%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LUK
1 - 2
DNE
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
DNE
3 - 1
ZNA
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 1
DNE
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
DNE
0 - 3
FKL
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |