Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Spartak Nalchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
DMA
0 - 1
CHE
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
LEG
1 - 1
CHE
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 1
SKA
82%
14%
4%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 0
ROT
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Nalchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SPV
2 - 2
NAL
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
NAL
4 - 2
ALA
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
NAL
1 - 1
ANZ
17%
27%
57%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
NAL
3 - 0
ALA
67%
21%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
MAS
1 - 1
NAL
26%
27%
48%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |