Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Mashuk-KMV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
3º
1º
21
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
6 - 1
DMA
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 4
CHE
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
CHE
6%
14%
80%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
YEN
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 0
FKK
55%
23%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mashuk-KMV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAS
1 - 5
LEG
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAS
0 - 1
FOT
18%
23%
60%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DMA
0 - 1
MAS
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAS
2 - 0
ETK
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 4
MAS
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |