Chernomorets Novorossisk vs FC Kuban Holding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
3º
1º
42
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BIO
1 - 2
CHE
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 0
ROT
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
1 - 2
CHE
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAL
2 - 3
CHE
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 2
FOT
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kuban Holding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 0
LEG
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DMA
2 - 3
FKK
15%
22%
64%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 3
FKK
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
2 - 0
ALA
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKK
5 - 2
MAS
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |