Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Druzhba Maykop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.8%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
3.1%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
3º
1º
35
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
92% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 4
CHE
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
CHE
6%
14%
80%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
YEN
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 0
FKK
55%
23%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BIO
1 - 2
CHE
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Druzhba Maykop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DMA
1 - 0
LEG
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DMA
0 - 1
MAS
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
DMA
25%
22%
54%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DMA
2 - 3
FKK
15%
22%
64%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DMA
0 - 1
BIO
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |