Cherno More Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
3º
1º
49
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
75 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
CVA
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CVA
4 - 0
LUD
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
CVA
39%
29%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CVA
1 - 0
LPL
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OFK
0 - 0
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Krumovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 1
LSO
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
FLK
59%
25%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FLK
4 - 1
LPL
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 3
FLK
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FLK
2 - 0
SSO
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |