Cherno More Varna II vs Dorostol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
6º
4º
34
5º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CMV
0 - 4
YAN
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 0
CMV
51%
22%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 2
CMV
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 2
SVE
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 3
CMV
11%
15%
74%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
FCF
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 6
LUD
16%
23%
61%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 1
DOR
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
UST
51%
22%
26%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 2
DOR
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |