Apertura Panama . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Chepo vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 1
AMA
43%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
SFF
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
CHE
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 2
SMI
49%
26%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARA
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
CHO
41%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
SFF
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |