Chepo vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
CHE
36%
29%
34%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 1
AFC
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 2
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
AMA
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 2
CHE
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 2
TAU
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
CHO
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
AFC
64%
23%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 3
CHO
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |