Chepo vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
AMA
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 1
CHE
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
SMI
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
2 - 1
CHE
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
VER
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 0
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CHO
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |