Chengdu Blades vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Blades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
HAN
2 - 1
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 1
JIA
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
TIB
0 - 0
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 0
SHA
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
BEI
3 - 1
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
GUA
3 - 1
QIN
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
HAN
2 - 1
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
JIA
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
TIB
2 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
SHA
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |