Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
CHF
3 - 3
WAK
42%
21%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 3
CHF
44%
22%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CHF
2 - 1
LAI
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CHF
0 - 0
SMA
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 4
CHF
39%
22%
40%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PSP
1 - 5
MCA
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MCA
2 - 1
BEN
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 0
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
KLM
2 - 2
MCA
53%
19%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MCA
0 - 1
CPK
63%
17%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |