Chemnitzer vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
SAC
0 - 2
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
DIE
3 - 1
CHE
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 0
SGD
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
BAB
4 - 2
CHE
38%
26%
35%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
WER
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
DIE
2 - 2
ROT
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
DIE
3 - 1
CHE
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +3 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
BOR
1 - 1
DIE
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
DIE
1 - 1
SGD
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
DIE
3 - 1
DRE
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |