Cheltenham Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 2
LIN
17%
25%
58%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EXE
3 - 1
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 0
CRE
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 3
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 0
CHE
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
GRI
1 - 2
MOR
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAC
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
2 - 0
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
SWI
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CUM
3 - 2
MOR
66%
19%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |