Chelsea Sub 23 vs Southampton Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
WHU
1 - 1
CHE
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 2
MCI
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
EVE
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 0
BHA
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 1
CHE
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
BHA
3 - 0
SOU
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 2
LIV
27%
23%
49%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
MCI
7 - 1
SOU
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
BLA
5 - 1
SOU
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 2
ARS
37%
23%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |