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Uefa Youth League. Group H, Matchday 5

Chelsea Sub 19 vs Juventus Sub 19 analysis

Chelsea Sub 19 Juventus Sub 19
48 ELO 22
122% Tilt 18%
1723º General ELO ranking 6317º
464º Country ELO ranking 184º
ELO win probability
85.6%
Chelsea Sub 19
8.6%
Draw
5.8%
Juventus Sub 19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
Chelsea Sub 19
3.88
Expected goals
12-0
<0%
+12
<0%
11-0
0.1%
12-1
<0%
+11
0.1%
10-0
0.1%
11-1
0.1%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
11-2
<0%
+9
0.6%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
11-3
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.6%
5.8%
Win probability
Juventus Sub 19
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%

Basic stats

61
39
POS
17
10
SOT
6
1
COR
1
3
GF
3
1
GC
10
14
FRK
48
22
ELO
3.9
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Chelsea Sub 19
Their league position
Juventus Sub 19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
13
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juventus Sub 19
13
15
100%
Chelsea Sub 19
9
11
100%
Zenit Sub 19
6
7
100%
Malmö Sub 19
1
2
100%
Expected probabilities
Chelsea Sub 19
Juventus Sub 19
Next phase
0% 100%
Knockout stages
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Juventus Sub 19
JUV
Chelsea Sub 19
CHE
Roma Sub 19
ROM
Pescara Sub 19
PES
Inter Sub 19
INT
Sampdoria Sub 19
SAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chelsea Sub 19
Chelsea Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO CHE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2021
MAL
Malmö Sub 19
0 - 5
Chelsea Sub 19
CHE
41%
28%
31%
895 728 -167 +25
20 Oct. 2021
CHE
Chelsea Sub 19
4 - 2
Malmö Sub 19
MAL
51%
26%
23%
875 738 137 +18
29 Sep. 2021
JUV
Juventus Sub 19
3 - 1
Chelsea Sub 19
CHE
34%
27%
39%
900 233 -667 -25
14 Sep. 2021
CHE
Chelsea Sub 19
3 - 1
Zenit Sub 19
ZEN
57%
24%
20%
883 487 396 +15
10 Dec. 2019
CHE
Chelsea Sub 19
1 - 1
Lille Sub 19
LIL
39%
28%
33%
879 1140 -261 +4

Matches

Juventus Sub 19
Juventus Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO JUV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2021
MIL
Milan Sub 19
3 - 1
Juventus Sub 19
JUV
39%
28%
33%
308 125 -183 -1
06 Nov. 2021
JUV
Juventus Sub 19
2 - 1
Genoa Sub 19
GEN
53%
25%
22%
307 102 205 +1
02 Nov. 2021
JUV
Juventus Sub 19
4 - 2
Zenit Sub 19
ZEN
39%
28%
33%
286 475 -189 +23
30 Oct. 2021
VER
Hellas Verona Sub 19
2 - 0
Juventus Sub 19
JUV
42%
27%
31%
285 138 -147 -1
24 Oct. 2021
JUV
Juventus Sub 19
3 - 2
Bolonia Sub 19
BOL
51%
26%
23%
285 120 165 +1