Chelsea vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
WYC
1 - 1
CHL
12%
23%
65%
|
96 | 58 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
CHL
6 - 1
MAC
84%
13%
3%
|
95 | 53 | 42 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
ASV
0 - 0
CHL
15%
25%
60%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
CHL
2 - 2
FUL
73%
18%
9%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
CHL
2 - 2
REA
75%
17%
8%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
OPA
2 - 1
WIG
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
WIG
0 - 3
BBU
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
MUD
3 - 1
WIG
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
WIG
2 - 3
CHL
14%
25%
62%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
WIG
0 - 1
SHE
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |