EFL Cup . Last 16

Chelsea vs Southampton analysis

Chelsea Southampton
92 ELO 82
-8.1% Tilt 2.6%
20º General ELO ranking 128º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
73.6%
Chelsea
16.9%
Draw
9.5%
Southampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
Chelsea
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.5%
Win probability
Southampton
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO progression

Chelsea
Southampton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
7 - 0
Norwich City
NOR
73%
18%
9%
92 78 14 0
20 Oct. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
4 - 0
Malmö FF
MFF
74%
17%
9%
92 81 11 0
16 Oct. 2021
BRE
Brentford
0 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
15%
21%
64%
92 82 10 0
02 Oct. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
3 - 1
Southampton
SOU
65%
21%
14%
92 82 10 0
29 Sep. 2021
JUV
Juventus
1 - 0
Chelsea
CHL
42%
25%
33%
92 92 0 0

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2021
SOU
Southampton
2 - 2
Burnley
BUR
48%
26%
27%
82 80 2 0
16 Oct. 2021
SOU
Southampton
1 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
39%
25%
36%
82 82 0 0
02 Oct. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
3 - 1
Southampton
SOU
65%
21%
14%
82 92 10 0
26 Sep. 2021
SOU
Southampton
0 - 1
Wolves
WOL
42%
26%
32%
83 84 1 -1
21 Sep. 2021
SHE
Sheffield United
2 - 2
Southampton
SOU
25%
25%
50%
83 76 7 0
X