Chelsea vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
CHA
4 - 2
CHL
24%
26%
50%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
FUL
0 - 1
CHL
25%
27%
48%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHL
26%
27%
47%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CHL
1 - 2
BOL
76%
15%
8%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
BJK
0 - 2
CHL
21%
24%
55%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
OPA
2 - 0
TOT
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
3 - 0
OPA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
OPA
1 - 2
EVE
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
MID
0 - 0
OPA
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 0
OPA
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |