Chelsea vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STO
1 - 0
CHL
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 1
DYN
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CHL
1 - 3
LIV
65%
20%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
STO
1 - 1
CHL
21%
24%
56%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WHU
2 - 1
CHL
20%
23%
57%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWA
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOR
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
EVE
1 - 1
NOR
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 1
WBA
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
6 - 2
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |