Chelsea vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
WIM
0 - 1
CHL
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
FCS
0 - 0
CHL
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CHL
1 - 0
ASV
69%
19%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
LEI
2 - 2
CHL
31%
27%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ACM
3 - 1
PRG
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACM
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
ACM
1 - 2
PAR
41%
26%
34%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
PRG
1 - 2
ACM
29%
27%
45%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1999 |
ACM
4 - 0
EMP
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |