Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 1
CHL
42%
25%
32%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
CHL
17%
21%
62%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHL
5%
14%
80%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SHE
1 - 2
CHL
11%
18%
71%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 0
RSO
55%
23%
22%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
RSO
0 - 4
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
WBA
1 - 1
MUD
12%
20%
68%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 0
WHU
68%
19%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |