Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
QPR
0 - 1
CHL
10%
18%
72%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 1
STO
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
HUL
2 - 3
CHL
13%
21%
67%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CHL
1 - 1
SOU
75%
17%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CHL
2 - 2
PSG
60%
22%
18%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MUD
4 - 2
MAC
40%
25%
35%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MUD
3 - 1
ASV
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 2
MUD
39%
25%
36%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MUD
3 - 0
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
MUD
1 - 2
ARS
52%
23%
24%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |