Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
FCP
56%
23%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 4
CHL
13%
21%
67%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
FCP
0 - 2
CHL
28%
25%
47%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 5
WBA
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
SHE
81%
13%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 2
MAC
16%
21%
63%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
LEE
85%
10%
4%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
BVB
72%
16%
13%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 2
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 2
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |