Chelsea vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 2
CHL
46%
26%
29%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STO
0 - 4
CHL
12%
20%
68%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
CHL
5 - 1
NTT
92%
7%
1%
|
92 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
62%
19%
18%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
CHL
6 - 0
QAR
91%
8%
2%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 0
SHA
72%
17%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
5 - 0
CRY
82%
13%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
WBA
1 - 2
MAC
15%
20%
65%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 6
MAC
11%
19%
71%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
FEY
0 - 4
MAC
27%
23%
50%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |