Chelsea vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
IND
1 - 8
CHL
5%
13%
83%
|
92 | 8 | 84 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 4
CHL
5%
13%
82%
|
92 | 8 | 84 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CHL
3 - 5
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 1
EVE
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 2
CHL
28%
22%
50%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
HSV
1 - 1
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
FER
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
INT
3 - 1
VIC
87%
10%
4%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
INT
2 - 5
UDI
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 0
INT
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |