Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
CHL
49%
23%
28%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
39%
25%
35%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 1
CHL
42%
25%
32%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
CHL
17%
21%
62%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 1
EVE
19%
22%
60%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 2
EVE
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 3
MAC
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 2
FUL
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |