Chelsea vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
12%
23%
65%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2005 |
CHL
4 - 0
BET
67%
21%
12%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
CHL
5 - 1
BOL
71%
19%
10%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 4
CHL
22%
27%
51%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 0
CHL
23%
28%
49%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
OPA
1 - 2
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
CHA
1 - 1
FUL
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 3
TOT
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
WBA
1 - 2
CHA
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
CHA
3 - 1
HAR
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | +1 |