Chelsea vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1946 |
BPO
1 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1946 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1946 |
OPA
0 - 2
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
CHL
2 - 5
STO
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
MID
3 - 2
CHL
75%
15%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 3
PNE
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
ARS
2 - 2
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
BRE
0 - 3
DER
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |