EFL Cup . 1/16

Chelsea vs Aston Villa analysis

Chelsea Aston Villa
92 ELO 83
-10.5% Tilt 5.4%
20º General ELO ranking 27º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74.1%
Chelsea
16.7%
Draw
9.2%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
Chelsea
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.2%
Win probability
Aston Villa
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO progression

Chelsea
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2021
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 3
Chelsea
CHL
28%
24%
48%
92 88 4 0
14 Sep. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
1 - 0
Zenit
ZEN
67%
20%
14%
92 85 7 0
11 Sep. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
3 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
68%
20%
12%
92 82 10 0
28 Aug. 2021
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
42%
25%
33%
92 92 0 0
22 Aug. 2021
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 2
Chelsea
CHL
30%
24%
45%
92 89 3 0

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Everton
EVE
30%
25%
45%
82 87 5 0
11 Sep. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
3 - 0
Aston Villa
ASV
68%
20%
12%
82 92 10 0
28 Aug. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Brentford
BRE
48%
24%
29%
83 81 2 -1
24 Aug. 2021
BAR
Barrow
0 - 6
Aston Villa
ASV
8%
18%
74%
82 53 29 +1
21 Aug. 2021
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
50%
23%
26%
82 81 1 0
X