Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHL
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
RMA
32%
25%
43%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
FUL
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
RMA
1 - 1
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WHU
0 - 1
CHL
25%
23%
52%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 1
WBA
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 0
VIL
36%
25%
40%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 2
ARS
19%
23%
59%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |