Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1995 |
LEI
1 - 1
CHL
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
EVE
3 - 3
CHL
52%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
CHL
1 - 0
QPR
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1995 |
CHL
3 - 1
ZAR
41%
29%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
MUD
0 - 0
CHL
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1995 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ARS
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1995 |
ARS
0 - 0
WIM
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1995 |
SAM
3 - 2
ARS
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
ASV
0 - 4
ARS
39%
28%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |