National League South . Jor. 30

Chelmsford City vs Welling United analysis

Chelmsford City Welling United
53 ELO 42
-9.2% Tilt -3.1%
3188º General ELO ranking 4991º
108º Country ELO ranking 210º
ELO win probability
63%
Chelmsford City
21.7%
Draw
15.3%
Welling United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
Chelmsford City
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.3%
Win probability
Welling United
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chelmsford City
+7%
+36%
Welling United

Points and table prediction

Chelmsford City
Their league position
Welling United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
84
14º
54
18º
24º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yeovil Town
95
95
100%
Chelmsford City
84
84
100%
Worthing
84
84
100%
Maidstone United
83
83
100%
Braintree Town
81
81
100%
Bath City
73
73
100%
Aveley
73
73
100%
Hampton & Richmond
72
72
100%
Farnborough
72
72
100%
Slough Town
10º
68
68
10º
0%
St. Albans City
11º
68
68
11º
0%
Torquay United
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Chippenham Town
13º
62
62
13º
100%
Weston-super-Mare
14º
59
59
14º
100%
Tonbridge Angels
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Weymouth
16º
56
56
16º
100%
Truro City
17º
55
55
17º
100%
Welling United
18º
54
54
18º
100%
Eastbourne Borough
19º
52
52
19º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
20º
50
50
20º
100%
Dartford
21º
46
46
21º
0%
Taunton Town
22º
46
46
22º
0%
Havant & Waterlooville
23º
37
37
23º
100%
Dover Athletic
24º
27
27
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chelmsford City
Welling United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chelmsford City
Welling United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chelmsford City
Chelmsford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
CHM
Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Wealdstone
WEA
44%
24%
32%
54 51 3 0
06 Jan. 2024
WOR
Worthing
2 - 3
Chelmsford City
CHM
50%
23%
27%
54 51 3 0
01 Jan. 2024
CHM
Chelmsford City
3 - 0
Braintree Town
BRA
54%
25%
21%
53 48 5 +1
26 Dec. 2023
BRA
Braintree Town
0 - 3
Chelmsford City
CHM
39%
27%
35%
52 50 2 +1
23 Dec. 2023
CHM
Chelmsford City
2 - 0
Torquay United
GUL
35%
26%
39%
51 53 2 +1

Matches

Welling United
Welling United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
WEL
Welling United
2 - 0
Chesterfield
CHE
7%
14%
79%
41 67 26 0
06 Jan. 2024
WEL
Welling United
1 - 3
Aveley
AVE
36%
25%
39%
43 47 4 -2
30 Dec. 2023
DAR
Dartford
1 - 1
Welling United
WEL
60%
21%
19%
42 48 6 +1
26 Dec. 2023
WEL
Welling United
0 - 1
Dartford
DAR
32%
24%
45%
44 48 4 -2
23 Dec. 2023
BAT
Bath City
4 - 0
Welling United
WEL
57%
23%
21%
45 50 5 -1
X