Chelmsford City vs Hungerford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CHM
0 - 1
DOR
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
OXF
4 - 1
CHM
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
BIL
3 - 3
CHM
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
CHM
67%
19%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
CHM
4 - 2
BRA
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hungerford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
OXF
4 - 0
HUN
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
EAS
3 - 2
HUN
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 1
HUN
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
HUN
2 - 1
MAI
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
HAV
4 - 2
HUN
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |